Fairhope, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

026
FXUS64 KMOB 150551
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

An upper ridge over our region will break down on Friday as a
large positively-tiled upper trough extending from the northern
Great Plains to off the coast of southern California shifts
eastward. The southern portion of the upper trough outraces to the
northern portion Friday night and Saturday, and becomes neutral
to slightly negatively-tilted as the axis crosses over the
Mississippi River early Sunday morning. The dry weather conditions
will persist through noon Saturday, followed by isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and
evening, and then scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
late Saturday night and Sunday ahead of a cold front approaching
from the northwest. Dry weather conditions will then follow Sunday
night into midweek in the wake of the cold front. At this time,
we are not expecting any severe storms, but are anticipating
around six-tenths to 1.2 inches of much needed widespread rainfall
with this system. Locally higher amounts are certainly possible.

High temperatures today and Thursday will range from 85-90 degrees
(around 6-11 degrees above normal) before cooling slightly Friday
and Saturday, and then into the lower to middle 80s on Sunday due
to increasing cloud cover and rain chances. Low temperatures
tonight will range from 57 to 61 degrees inland and from 62 to 67
degrees along the immediate coast. Lows will trend warmer through
the remainder of the week, and be around 12-17 degrees above
normal Saturday night (middle to upper 60s inland and around 70
degrees along the immediate coast) due to a good fetch of
southerly winds. Lows will then drop into the 50s Sunday night and
Monday night behind the cold front.

Beach Forecast: The LOW rip current risk will persist through
Thursday night. Increasing low level southeasterly flow across the
region will help increase the rip current risk by the weekend
across our local beaches, with a Moderate risk returning on Friday
and a High risk of rip currents over the weekend. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through Wednesday evening. Light and
variable winds tonight into Wednesday will become easterly
Wednesday morning, and then more southerly along and south of I-10
at 5-10 knots throughout the day as a seabreeze pushes inland.
Winds further inland will remain easterly or become light and
variable. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Small craft exercise caution conditions are possible over the
weekend as a cold front approaches and passes through the area.
Overall, a light mainly southeasterly flow develops Thursday
afternoon, with winds gradually increasing Friday into Saturday
along with building seas. A light to moderate southeasterly flow
to start the weekend will shift southerly and then southwesterly
going into Sunday ahead of a cold front approaching from the
northwest, and then northerly Sunday evening as the cold front
passes through the area. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      59  86  61  87  62  84  66  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  20
Pensacola   65  84  65  85  67  82  70  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  20
Destin      67  85  67  84  68  82  68  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   56  90  57  91  59  88  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  56  86  57  88  58  86  61  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  20
Camden      56  88  58  88  59  86  60  87 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  20
Crestview   56  88  57  89  59  85  60  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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